Blog
From Teligent Disaster to HP Success: A Second-Order Thinking Story
Kevin Allodi thought three moves ahead when I wasn't thinking past the first. His decision saved my family—and taught me the framework I use for billion-dollar calls.
I'm Thinking About Writing a Book. Here's Why—And I Need Your Help.
I'm turning two years of essays into a book on thinking independently. Read the concept and tell me what you think.
I Wore a Red Badge Inside the NSA. Here's What Happened.
I mastered probabilistic thinking in my algorithm. Then made every wrong bet with my business.
The Six Words That Killed Quibi
Same Skill, Opposite Outcomes: How Jeffrey Katzenberg Built an Empire and Lost a Billion
HP Won Innovation Awards. Then Killed What Made It True.
Three years on the Most Innovative list. Thirteen years absent. Here's what changed—and what it proves about causation.
Kroger Copied HP's Innovation Playbook Perfectly. It Failed Anyway.
The invisible reasoning error that cost 18 months—and why you're probably making it right now
I Told the Department of Education Their Graduates Were Useless
The room went silent. But I'd been watching this crisis unfold for decades—starting on a factory floor in 1981
The Daily Journaling Habit That Helped Me Find My Authentic Innovation Self
For the first time, I'm sharing the deeply personal practice that transformed me from a "rinse and repeat" performer into an authentic innovator—and why this matters more now than ever.
The WSJ Got Quarterly Reporting Wrong: A Corporate Executive's Response
Why James Mackintosh's defense of quarterly reporting ignores what actually happens in corporate boardrooms.
Why the People Who Disagree with You Are Your Secret Weapon
How intelligent opposition transforms your thinking from weak assumptions into rigorous reasoning—and why most people avoid this advantage entirely.
