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Studio Notes

Weekly essays on the decisions behind innovation—the patterns that repeat, the mistakes that are predictable, and what actually works.

The Million-Dollar Decision I Got Wrong (And Why I'm Grateful)

I built 3COM's largest network. Then I turned down the job offer.

The Million-Dollar Decision I Got Wrong (And Why I'm Grateful)

The Military Ignored His Brain Injury. So He Built What Could Have Saved His Brothers.

A Navy SEAL's fight against the invisible wounds killing America's elite warriors.

The Military Ignored His Brain Injury. So He Built What Could Have Saved His Brothers.

They Accused Me of Fraud. It Made $20 Billion.

What happens when numbers stop making sense and the government needs a scapegoat?

They Accused Me of Fraud. It Made $20 Billion.

What I'm Actually Thankful For (After My Body Failed Three Times This Year)

Five cardiac surgeries taught me the difference between Thanksgiving platitudes and what you're grateful for when the clock is screaming.

What I'm Actually Thankful For (After My Body Failed Three Times This Year)

From Teligent Disaster to HP Success: A Second-Order Thinking Story

Kevin Allodi thought three moves ahead when I wasn't thinking past the first. His decision saved my family—and taught me the framework I use for billion-dollar calls.

From Teligent Disaster to HP Success: A Second-Order Thinking Story

I'm Thinking About Writing a Book. Here's Why—And I Need Your Help.

I'm turning two years of essays into a book on thinking independently. Read the concept and tell me what you think.

I'm Thinking About Writing a Book. Here's Why—And I Need Your Help.

I Wore a Red Badge Inside the NSA. Here's What Happened.

I mastered probabilistic thinking in my algorithm. Then made every wrong bet with my business.

I Wore a Red Badge Inside the NSA. Here's What Happened.

The Six Words That Killed Quibi

Same Skill, Opposite Outcomes: How Jeffrey Katzenberg Built an Empire and Lost a Billion

The Six Words That Killed Quibi

HP Won Innovation Awards. Then Killed What Made It True.

Three years on the Most Innovative list. Thirteen years absent. Here's what changed—and what it proves about causation.

HP garage (AI image) used as symbolism to the innovation culture that Bill Hewlett and David Packard created. Art Fong taught Phil McKinney what it mean to be HP.

Kroger Copied HP's Innovation Playbook Perfectly. It Failed Anyway.

The invisible reasoning error that cost 18 months—and why you're probably making it right now

Kroger Copied HP's Innovation Playbook Perfectly. It Failed Anyway.

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