philmckinney
Retirement 3.0
My third retirement is different. On Jan 1, 2027 I retire as CableLabs CEO and hand the reins to Mark Bridges. Why now, and what's next?
How to Tell a Good Decision From a Lucky One
An excellent decision and a lucky one leave the same evidence: a win. Tell them apart and you stop crediting luck as judgment. That's counterfactual thinking
How to Improve Your Weak Signal Judgment
Noticing a trend is easy and almost worthless. Predicting which one reshapes a market, and acting early, is where innovation pays.
How to Improve Your Inversion Thinking Skills
Most innovation tools teach you how to win. Inversion thinking teaches you how to lose on purpose, so you catch the failure while you can still change course.
How to Improve Your First Principles Thinking Skills
First principles thinking is the most talked-about skill in innovation. It's also the most misunderstood. Here's what it actually looks like.
They're Everywhere
And we finally have a word for them.
How To Quit Defending Decisions You Know Are Wrong
The reason you can't let go isn't logic. It's that quitting would threaten who you believe you are.
How To Think for Yourself When Everyone Disagrees With You
Why your brain treats disagreement like danger, and a simple two-minute technique to protect your thinking.
Shell Had Six Years to Prepare. I Had Four Months.
Outstanding leaders under pressure aren't making great decisions. They're executing decisions they already made. The difference is preparation. And most leaders skip it.
An Open Letter to HP's Board, and Every Board Governing an Innovation-Dependent Organization
What innovation-dependent organizations need from their boards, and four places to start.
