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philmckinney

How to Improve Your Abductive Reasoning Skills: The Sherlock Holmes Method

School taught you deductive and inductive reasoning. The third kind, abductive reasoning, is where new ideas come from, and it is the one AI can't do.

AI generated using Midjourney and posssibly other tools

The Customers Who Walked Away

Forty-two killer questions that survived years of testing, and the three places to aim them.

AI generated image of a customer walking out of a consumer electronics store

How One Word Steers Your Answer

The anatomy of a bad question, and what makes one great.

How One Word Steers Your Answer

Retirement 3.0

My third retirement is different. On Jan 1, 2027 I retire as CableLabs CEO and hand the reins to Mark Bridges. Why now, and what's next?

Image of Phil McKinney announcing his retirement from CableLabs

How to Tell a Good Decision From a Lucky One

An excellent decision and a lucky one leave the same evidence: a win. Tell them apart and you stop crediting luck as judgment. That's counterfactual thinking

It your decision good ... or just lucky,

How to Improve Your Weak Signal Judgment

Noticing a trend is easy and almost worthless. Predicting which one reshapes a market, and acting early, is where innovation pays.

How to improve your judgement on which weak signal to act on

How to Improve Your Inversion Thinking Skills

Most innovation tools teach you how to win. Inversion thinking teaches you how to lose on purpose, so you catch the failure while you can still change course.

Image of inversion thinking - showing Phil McKinney inverted.

How to Improve Your First Principles Thinking Skills

First principles thinking is the most talked-about skill in innovation. It's also the most misunderstood. Here's what it actually looks like.

Podcast Episode on First Principals Thinking Skills

They're Everywhere

And we finally have a word for them.

Image of terminal saying that the AI Skynet went online on August 29, 1997.

How To Quit Defending Decisions You Know Are Wrong

The reason you can't let go isn't logic. It's that quitting would threaten who you believe you are.

How To Quit Defending Decisions You Know Are Wrong